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Predictions by state



What is this?

This page shows the popular vote results in each state compared with the expected winning candidate based on several models:

  • The number of Congress members from each party;
  • The number of Congress members who have endorsed each candidate;
  • The number of newspapers who have endorsed each candidate.

For more details, including a full write-up of the methodology and lessons learned, see my blog post: Predicting the U.S. election without polls.

Congress - by party

State Vote spread Senate - party House - party Congress - party
Overall Actual electoral votes Predicted electoral votes Correct winner Correct margin size Predicted electoral votes Correct winner Correct margin size Predicted electoral votes Correct winner Correct margin size
232 to 306
203 to 195
36 / 51 32 / 51
183 to 333
45 / 51 37 / 51
197 to 337
46 / 51 37 / 51
Alabama (9)
+28.34%

(34.55% to 62.89%)
+2

(0 to 2)
+5

(1 to 6)
+7

(1 to 8)
Alaska (3)
+15.17%

(37.72% to 52.89%)
+2

(0 to 2)
+1

(0 to 1)
+3

(0 to 3)
Arizona (11)
+4.32%

(45.32% to 49.64%)
+2

(0 to 2)
+1

(4 to 5)
+3

(4 to 7)
Arkansas (6)
+26.94%

(33.65% to 60.59%)
+2

(0 to 2)
+4

(0 to 4)
+6

(0 to 6)
California (55)
+28.98%

(61.78% to 32.80%)
+2

(2 to 0)
+25

(39 to 14)
+27

(41 to 14)
Colorado (9)
+2.11%

(46.91% to 44.80%)
+0

(1 to 1)
+1

(3 to 4)
+1

(4 to 5)
Connecticut (7)
+12.13%

(53.86% to 41.73%)
+2

(2 to 0)
+5

(5 to 0)
+7

(7 to 0)
D.C. (3)
+86.52%

(90.54% to 4.02%)
+0

(0 to 0)
+1

(1 to 0)
+1

(1 to 0)
Delaware (3)
+11.43%

(53.35% to 41.92%)
+2

(2 to 0)
+1

(1 to 0)
+3

(3 to 0)
Florida (29)
+1.27%

(47.79% to 49.06%)
+0

(1 to 1)
+7

(10 to 17)
+7

(11 to 18)
Georgia (16)
+5.46%

(45.74% to 51.20%)
+2

(0 to 2)
+6

(4 to 10)
+8

(4 to 12)
Hawaii (4)
+31.54%

(60.98% to 29.44%)
+2

(2 to 0)
+2

(2 to 0)
+4

(4 to 0)
Idaho (4)
+31.86%

(27.46% to 59.32%)
+2

(0 to 2)
+2

(0 to 2)
+4

(0 to 4)
Illinois (20)
+16.00%

(55.41% to 39.41%)
+0

(1 to 1)
+2

(10 to 8)
+2

(11 to 9)
Indiana (11)
+19.25%

(37.87% to 57.12%)
+1

(0 to 1)
+5

(2 to 7)
+6

(2 to 8)
Iowa (6)
+9.50%

(41.71% to 51.21%)
+2

(0 to 2)
+2

(1 to 3)
+4

(1 to 5)
Kansas (6)
+21.09%

(36.13% to 57.22%)
+2

(0 to 2)
+4

(0 to 4)
+6

(0 to 6)
Kentucky (8)
+29.85%

(32.69% to 62.54%)
+2

(0 to 2)
+4

(1 to 5)
+6

(1 to 7)
Louisiana (8)
+19.65%

(38.44% to 58.09%)
+2

(0 to 2)
+4

(1 to 5)
+6

(1 to 7)
Maine (4)
+2.68%

(47.84% to 45.16%)
+1

(0 to 1)
+0

(1 to 1)
+1

(1 to 2)
Maryland (10)
+24.71%

(59.50% to 34.79%)
+2

(2 to 0)
+6

(7 to 1)
+8

(9 to 1)
Massachusetts (11)
+27.29%

(60.81% to 33.52%)
+2

(2 to 0)
+9

(9 to 0)
+11

(11 to 0)
Michigan (16)
+0.27%

(47.33% to 47.60%)
+2

(2 to 0)
+4

(5 to 9)
+2

(7 to 9)
Minnesota (10)
+1.46%

(46.41% to 44.95%)
+2

(2 to 0)
+2

(5 to 3)
+4

(7 to 3)
Mississippi (6)
+18.58%

(39.74% to 58.32%)
+2

(0 to 2)
+2

(1 to 3)
+4

(1 to 5)
Missouri (10)
+19.04%

(37.84% to 56.88%)
+0

(1 to 1)
+4

(2 to 6)
+4

(3 to 7)
Montana (3)
+20.55%

(35.97% to 56.52%)
+0

(1 to 1)
+1

(0 to 1)
+1

(1 to 2)
Nebraska (5)
+26.37%

(33.96% to 60.33%)
+2

(0 to 2)
+1

(1 to 2)
+3

(1 to 4)
Nevada (6)
+2.36%

(47.89% to 45.53%)
+0

(1 to 1)
+2

(1 to 3)
+2

(2 to 4)
New Hampshire (4)
+0.37%

(47.62% to 47.25%)
+0

(1 to 1)
+0

(1 to 1)
+0

(2 to 2)
New Jersey (14)
+12.74%

(54.77% to 42.03%)
+2

(2 to 0)
+0

(6 to 6)
+2

(8 to 6)
New Mexico (5)
+8.21%

(48.26% to 40.05%)
+2

(2 to 0)
+1

(2 to 1)
+3

(4 to 1)
New York (29)
+21.05%

(57.89% to 36.84%)
+2

(2 to 0)
+9

(18 to 9)
+11

(20 to 9)
North Carolina (15)
+3.77%

(46.13% to 49.90%)
+2

(0 to 2)
+7

(3 to 10)
+9

(3 to 12)
North Dakota (3)
+35.71%

(27.24% to 62.95%)
+0

(1 to 1)
+1

(0 to 1)
+1

(1 to 2)
Ohio (18)
+8.55%

(43.51% to 52.06%)
+0

(1 to 1)
+8

(4 to 12)
+8

(5 to 13)
Oklahoma (7)
+36.40%

(28.93% to 65.33%)
+2

(0 to 2)
+5

(0 to 5)
+7

(0 to 7)
Oregon (7)
+10.40%

(49.89% to 39.49%)
+2

(2 to 0)
+3

(4 to 1)
+5

(6 to 1)
Pennsylvania (20)
+1.24%

(47.60% to 48.84%)
+0

(1 to 1)
+8

(5 to 13)
+8

(6 to 14)
Rhode Island (4)
+14.37%

(53.83% to 39.46%)
+2

(2 to 0)
+2

(2 to 0)
+4

(4 to 0)
South Carolina (9)
+14.19%

(40.71% to 54.90%)
+2

(0 to 2)
+5

(1 to 6)
+7

(1 to 8)
South Dakota (3)
+29.79%

(31.74% to 61.53%)
+2

(0 to 2)
+1

(0 to 1)
+3

(0 to 3)
Tennessee (11)
+26.16%

(34.90% to 61.06%)
+2

(0 to 2)
+5

(2 to 7)
+7

(2 to 9)
Texas (38)
+9.11%

(43.32% to 52.43%)
+2

(0 to 2)
+14

(11 to 25)
+16

(11 to 27)
Utah (6)
+18.99%

(27.81% to 46.80%)
+2

(0 to 2)
+4

(0 to 4)
+6

(0 to 6)
Vermont (3)
+28.48%

(61.12% to 32.64%)
+2

(2 to 0)
+1

(1 to 0)
+3

(3 to 0)
Virginia (13)
+4.81%

(49.49% to 44.68%)
+2

(2 to 0)
+5

(3 to 8)
+3

(5 to 8)
Washington (12)
+17.40%

(55.57% to 38.17%)
+2

(2 to 0)
+2

(6 to 4)
+4

(8 to 4)
West Virginia (5)
+42.18%

(26.47% to 68.65%)
+0

(1 to 1)
+3

(0 to 3)
+3

(1 to 4)
Wisconsin (10)
+0.93%

(46.94% to 47.87%)
+0

(1 to 1)
+2

(3 to 5)
+2

(4 to 6)
Wyoming (3)
+45.77%

(21.63% to 67.40%)
+2

(0 to 2)
+1

(0 to 1)
+3

(0 to 3)

Congress - by endorsements

State Vote spread Senate - endorsed House - endorsed Congress - endorsed
Overall Actual electoral votes Predicted electoral votes Correct winner Correct margin size Predicted electoral votes Correct winner Correct margin size Predicted electoral votes Correct winner Correct margin size
232 to 306
294 to 166
38 / 51 31 / 51
210 to 313
47 / 51 40 / 51
220 to 292
48 / 51 40 / 51
Alabama (9)
+28.34%

(34.55% to 62.89%)
+2

(0 to 2)
+3

(1 to 4)
+5

(1 to 6)
Alaska (3)
+15.17%

(37.72% to 52.89%)
+0

(0 to 0)
+1

(0 to 1)
+1

(0 to 1)
Arizona (11)
+4.32%

(45.32% to 49.64%)
+0

(0 to 0)
+1

(3 to 4)
+1

(3 to 4)
Arkansas (6)
+26.94%

(33.65% to 60.59%)
+2

(0 to 2)
+4

(0 to 4)
+6

(0 to 6)
California (55)
+28.98%

(61.78% to 32.80%)
+2

(2 to 0)
+28

(39 to 11)
+30

(41 to 11)
Colorado (9)
+2.11%

(46.91% to 44.80%)
+1

(1 to 0)
+1

(3 to 2)
+2

(4 to 2)
Connecticut (7)
+12.13%

(53.86% to 41.73%)
+2

(2 to 0)
+5

(5 to 0)
+7

(7 to 0)
D.C. (3)
+86.52%

(90.54% to 4.02%)
+0

(0 to 0)
+1

(1 to 0)
+1

(1 to 0)
Delaware (3)
+11.43%

(53.35% to 41.92%)
+2

(2 to 0)
+1

(1 to 0)
+3

(3 to 0)
Florida (29)
+1.27%

(47.79% to 49.06%)
+0

(1 to 1)
+1

(9 to 10)
+1

(10 to 11)
Georgia (16)
+5.46%

(45.74% to 51.20%)
+1

(0 to 1)
+7

(3 to 10)
+8

(3 to 11)
Hawaii (4)
+31.54%

(60.98% to 29.44%)
+2

(2 to 0)
+2

(2 to 0)
+4

(4 to 0)
Idaho (4)
+31.86%

(27.46% to 59.32%)
+2

(0 to 2)
+1

(0 to 1)
+3

(0 to 3)
Illinois (20)
+16.00%

(55.41% to 39.41%)
+1

(1 to 0)
+6

(9 to 3)
+7

(10 to 3)
Indiana (11)
+19.25%

(37.87% to 57.12%)
+0

(1 to 1)
+4

(1 to 5)
+4

(2 to 6)
Iowa (6)
+9.50%

(41.71% to 51.21%)
+1

(0 to 1)
+1

(1 to 2)
+2

(1 to 3)
Kansas (6)
+21.09%

(36.13% to 57.22%)
+2

(0 to 2)
+3

(0 to 3)
+5

(0 to 5)
Kentucky (8)
+29.85%

(32.69% to 62.54%)
+2

(0 to 2)
+2

(1 to 3)
+4

(1 to 5)
Louisiana (8)
+19.65%

(38.44% to 58.09%)
+2

(0 to 2)
+3

(1 to 4)
+5

(1 to 6)
Maine (4)
+2.68%

(47.84% to 45.16%)
+1

(1 to 0)
+1

(1 to 0)
+2

(2 to 0)
Maryland (10)
+24.71%

(59.50% to 34.79%)
+2

(2 to 0)
+6

(7 to 1)
+8

(9 to 1)
Massachusetts (11)
+27.29%

(60.81% to 33.52%)
+2

(2 to 0)
+9

(9 to 0)
+11

(11 to 0)
Michigan (16)
+0.27%

(47.33% to 47.60%)
+2

(2 to 0)
+2

(5 to 7)
+0

(7 to 7)
Minnesota (10)
+1.46%

(46.41% to 44.95%)
+2

(2 to 0)
+2

(4 to 2)
+4

(6 to 2)
Mississippi (6)
+18.58%

(39.74% to 58.32%)
+2

(0 to 2)
+2

(1 to 3)
+4

(1 to 5)
Missouri (10)
+19.04%

(37.84% to 56.88%)
+0

(1 to 1)
+4

(1 to 5)
+4

(2 to 6)
Montana (3)
+20.55%

(35.97% to 56.52%)
+0

(1 to 1)
+1

(0 to 1)
+1

(1 to 2)
Nebraska (5)
+26.37%

(33.96% to 60.33%)
+1

(0 to 1)
+0

(1 to 1)
+1

(1 to 2)
Nevada (6)
+2.36%

(47.89% to 45.53%)
+1

(1 to 0)
+0

(1 to 1)
+1

(2 to 1)
New Hampshire (4)
+0.37%

(47.62% to 47.25%)
+1

(1 to 0)
+0

(1 to 1)
+1

(2 to 1)
New Jersey (14)
+12.74%

(54.77% to 42.03%)
+2

(2 to 0)
+2

(6 to 4)
+4

(8 to 4)
New Mexico (5)
+8.21%

(48.26% to 40.05%)
+2

(2 to 0)
+1

(2 to 1)
+3

(4 to 1)
New York (29)
+21.05%

(57.89% to 36.84%)
+2

(2 to 0)
+13

(19 to 6)
+15

(21 to 6)
North Carolina (15)
+3.77%

(46.13% to 49.90%)
+2

(0 to 2)
+7

(3 to 10)
+9

(3 to 12)
North Dakota (3)
+35.71%

(27.24% to 62.95%)
+0

(1 to 1)
+1

(0 to 1)
+1

(1 to 2)
Ohio (18)
+8.55%

(43.51% to 52.06%)
+1

(1 to 0)
+6

(3 to 9)
+5

(4 to 9)
Oklahoma (7)
+36.40%

(28.93% to 65.33%)
+1

(0 to 1)
+5

(0 to 5)
+6

(0 to 6)
Oregon (7)
+10.40%

(49.89% to 39.49%)
+2

(2 to 0)
+2

(3 to 1)
+4

(5 to 1)
Pennsylvania (20)
+1.24%

(47.60% to 48.84%)
+1

(1 to 0)
+4

(5 to 9)
+3

(6 to 9)
Rhode Island (4)
+14.37%

(53.83% to 39.46%)
+2

(2 to 0)
+2

(2 to 0)
+4

(4 to 0)
South Carolina (9)
+14.19%

(40.71% to 54.90%)
+1

(0 to 1)
+4

(1 to 5)
+5

(1 to 6)
South Dakota (3)
+29.79%

(31.74% to 61.53%)
+2

(0 to 2)
+1

(0 to 1)
+3

(0 to 3)
Tennessee (11)
+26.16%

(34.90% to 61.06%)
+1

(0 to 1)
+4

(2 to 6)
+5

(2 to 7)
Texas (38)
+9.11%

(43.32% to 52.43%)
+2

(0 to 2)
+10

(11 to 21)
+12

(11 to 23)
Utah (6)
+18.99%

(27.81% to 46.80%)
+1

(0 to 1)
+1

(0 to 1)
+2

(0 to 2)
Vermont (3)
+28.48%

(61.12% to 32.64%)
+2

(2 to 0)
+1

(1 to 0)
+3

(3 to 0)
Virginia (13)
+4.81%

(49.49% to 44.68%)
+2

(2 to 0)
+3

(3 to 6)
+1

(5 to 6)
Washington (12)
+17.40%

(55.57% to 38.17%)
+2

(2 to 0)
+4

(6 to 2)
+6

(8 to 2)
West Virginia (5)
+42.18%

(26.47% to 68.65%)
+0

(1 to 1)
+3

(0 to 3)
+3

(1 to 4)
Wisconsin (10)
+0.93%

(46.94% to 47.87%)
+1

(1 to 0)
+1

(3 to 4)
+0

(4 to 4)
Wyoming (3)
+45.77%

(21.63% to 67.40%)
+2

(0 to 2)
+1

(0 to 1)
+3

(0 to 3)

Congress - combined endorsement models

State Vote spread Congress endorsements (unless tied; then, House endorsements) House endorsements (unless tied; then, Senate endorsements) House (unless tied, or Senate is unanimous; then, Senate endorsements)
Overall Actual electoral votes Predicted electoral votes Correct winner Correct margin size Predicted electoral votes Correct winner Correct margin size Predicted electoral votes Correct winner Correct margin size
232 to 306
220 to 318
50 / 51 41 / 51
220 to 318
50 / 51 41 / 51
249 to 289
50 / 51 42 / 51
Alabama (9)
+28.34%

(34.55% to 62.89%)
+5

(1 to 6)
+3

(1 to 4)
+2

(0 to 2)
Alaska (3)
+15.17%

(37.72% to 52.89%)
+1

(0 to 1)
+1

(0 to 1)
+1

(0 to 1)
Arizona (11)
+4.32%

(45.32% to 49.64%)
+1

(3 to 4)
+1

(3 to 4)
+1

(3 to 4)
Arkansas (6)
+26.94%

(33.65% to 60.59%)
+6

(0 to 6)
+4

(0 to 4)
+2

(0 to 2)
California (55)
+28.98%

(61.78% to 32.80%)
+30

(41 to 11)
+28

(39 to 11)
+2

(2 to 0)
Colorado (9)
+2.11%

(46.91% to 44.80%)
+2

(4 to 2)
+1

(3 to 2)
+1

(3 to 2)
Connecticut (7)
+12.13%

(53.86% to 41.73%)
+7

(7 to 0)
+5

(5 to 0)
+2

(2 to 0)
D.C. (3)
+86.52%

(90.54% to 4.02%)
+1

(1 to 0)
+1

(1 to 0)
+1

(1 to 0)
Delaware (3)
+11.43%

(53.35% to 41.92%)
+3

(3 to 0)
+1

(1 to 0)
+2

(2 to 0)
Florida (29)
+1.27%

(47.79% to 49.06%)
+1

(10 to 11)
+1

(9 to 10)
+1

(9 to 10)
Georgia (16)
+5.46%

(45.74% to 51.20%)
+8

(3 to 11)
+7

(3 to 10)
+7

(3 to 10)
Hawaii (4)
+31.54%

(60.98% to 29.44%)
+4

(4 to 0)
+2

(2 to 0)
+2

(2 to 0)
Idaho (4)
+31.86%

(27.46% to 59.32%)
+3

(0 to 3)
+1

(0 to 1)
+2

(0 to 2)
Illinois (20)
+16.00%

(55.41% to 39.41%)
+7

(10 to 3)
+6

(9 to 3)
+6

(9 to 3)
Indiana (11)
+19.25%

(37.87% to 57.12%)
+4

(2 to 6)
+4

(1 to 5)
+4

(1 to 5)
Iowa (6)
+9.50%

(41.71% to 51.21%)
+2

(1 to 3)
+1

(1 to 2)
+1

(1 to 2)
Kansas (6)
+21.09%

(36.13% to 57.22%)
+5

(0 to 5)
+3

(0 to 3)
+2

(0 to 2)
Kentucky (8)
+29.85%

(32.69% to 62.54%)
+4

(1 to 5)
+2

(1 to 3)
+2

(0 to 2)
Louisiana (8)
+19.65%

(38.44% to 58.09%)
+5

(1 to 6)
+3

(1 to 4)
+2

(0 to 2)
Maine (4)
+2.68%

(47.84% to 45.16%)
+2

(2 to 0)
+1

(1 to 0)
+1

(1 to 0)
Maryland (10)
+24.71%

(59.50% to 34.79%)
+8

(9 to 1)
+6

(7 to 1)
+2

(2 to 0)
Massachusetts (11)
+27.29%

(60.81% to 33.52%)
+11

(11 to 0)
+9

(9 to 0)
+2

(2 to 0)
Michigan (16)
+0.27%

(47.33% to 47.60%)
+2

(5 to 7)
+2

(5 to 7)
+2

(2 to 0)
Minnesota (10)
+1.46%

(46.41% to 44.95%)
+4

(6 to 2)
+2

(4 to 2)
+2

(2 to 0)
Mississippi (6)
+18.58%

(39.74% to 58.32%)
+4

(1 to 5)
+2

(1 to 3)
+2

(0 to 2)
Missouri (10)
+19.04%

(37.84% to 56.88%)
+4

(2 to 6)
+4

(1 to 5)
+4

(1 to 5)
Montana (3)
+20.55%

(35.97% to 56.52%)
+1

(1 to 2)
+1

(0 to 1)
+1

(0 to 1)
Nebraska (5)
+26.37%

(33.96% to 60.33%)
+1

(1 to 2)
+1

(0 to 1)
+1

(0 to 1)
Nevada (6)
+2.36%

(47.89% to 45.53%)
+1

(2 to 1)
+1

(1 to 0)
+1

(1 to 0)
New Hampshire (4)
+0.37%

(47.62% to 47.25%)
+1

(2 to 1)
+1

(1 to 0)
+1

(1 to 0)
New Jersey (14)
+12.74%

(54.77% to 42.03%)
+4

(8 to 4)
+2

(6 to 4)
+2

(2 to 0)
New Mexico (5)
+8.21%

(48.26% to 40.05%)
+3

(4 to 1)
+1

(2 to 1)
+2

(2 to 0)
New York (29)
+21.05%

(57.89% to 36.84%)
+15

(21 to 6)
+13

(19 to 6)
+2

(2 to 0)
North Carolina (15)
+3.77%

(46.13% to 49.90%)
+9

(3 to 12)
+7

(3 to 10)
+2

(0 to 2)
North Dakota (3)
+35.71%

(27.24% to 62.95%)
+1

(1 to 2)
+1

(0 to 1)
+1

(0 to 1)
Ohio (18)
+8.55%

(43.51% to 52.06%)
+5

(4 to 9)
+6

(3 to 9)
+6

(3 to 9)
Oklahoma (7)
+36.40%

(28.93% to 65.33%)
+6

(0 to 6)
+5

(0 to 5)
+5

(0 to 5)
Oregon (7)
+10.40%

(49.89% to 39.49%)
+4

(5 to 1)
+2

(3 to 1)
+2

(2 to 0)
Pennsylvania (20)
+1.24%

(47.60% to 48.84%)
+3

(6 to 9)
+4

(5 to 9)
+4

(5 to 9)
Rhode Island (4)
+14.37%

(53.83% to 39.46%)
+4

(4 to 0)
+2

(2 to 0)
+2

(2 to 0)
South Carolina (9)
+14.19%

(40.71% to 54.90%)
+5

(1 to 6)
+4

(1 to 5)
+4

(1 to 5)
South Dakota (3)
+29.79%

(31.74% to 61.53%)
+3

(0 to 3)
+1

(0 to 1)
+2

(0 to 2)
Tennessee (11)
+26.16%

(34.90% to 61.06%)
+5

(2 to 7)
+4

(2 to 6)
+4

(2 to 6)
Texas (38)
+9.11%

(43.32% to 52.43%)
+12

(11 to 23)
+10

(11 to 21)
+2

(0 to 2)
Utah (6)
+18.99%

(27.81% to 46.80%)
+2

(0 to 2)
+1

(0 to 1)
+1

(0 to 1)
Vermont (3)
+28.48%

(61.12% to 32.64%)
+3

(3 to 0)
+1

(1 to 0)
+2

(2 to 0)
Virginia (13)
+4.81%

(49.49% to 44.68%)
+1

(5 to 6)
+3

(3 to 6)
+2

(2 to 0)
Washington (12)
+17.40%

(55.57% to 38.17%)
+6

(8 to 2)
+4

(6 to 2)
+2

(2 to 0)
West Virginia (5)
+42.18%

(26.47% to 68.65%)
+3

(1 to 4)
+3

(0 to 3)
+3

(0 to 3)
Wisconsin (10)
+0.93%

(46.94% to 47.87%)
+1

(3 to 4)
+1

(3 to 4)
+1

(3 to 4)
Wyoming (3)
+45.77%

(21.63% to 67.40%)
+3

(0 to 3)
+1

(0 to 1)
+2

(0 to 2)

Newspaper endorsements

State Vote spread Newspaper endorsements Newspaper endorsements for Trump
Overall Actual electoral votes Predicted electoral votes Correct winner Correct margin size Predicted electoral votes Correct winner Correct margin size
232 to 306
508 to 9
22 / 51 16 / 51
256 to 282
31 / 51 23 / 51
Alabama (9)
+28.34%

(34.55% to 62.89%)
+4

(4 to 0)
+4

(4 to 0)
Alaska (3)
+15.17%

(37.72% to 52.89%)
+2

(0 to 2)
+2

(0 to 2)
Arizona (11)
+4.32%

(45.32% to 49.64%)
+1

(1 to 0)
+1

(1 to 0)
Arkansas (6)
+26.94%

(33.65% to 60.59%)
+0

(0 to 0)
+2

(0 to 2)
California (55)
+28.98%

(61.78% to 32.80%)
+29

(31 to 2)
+2

(0 to 2)
Colorado (9)
+2.11%

(46.91% to 44.80%)
+11

(11 to 0)
+11

(11 to 0)
Connecticut (7)
+12.13%

(53.86% to 41.73%)
+13

(14 to 1)
+1

(0 to 1)
D.C. (3)
+86.52%

(90.54% to 4.02%)
+6

(6 to 0)
+6

(6 to 0)
Delaware (3)
+11.43%

(53.35% to 41.92%)
+0

(0 to 0)
+2

(0 to 2)
Florida (29)
+1.27%

(47.79% to 49.06%)
+8

(10 to 2)
+2

(0 to 2)
Georgia (16)
+5.46%

(45.74% to 51.20%)
+1

(4 to 3)
+3

(0 to 3)
Hawaii (4)
+31.54%

(60.98% to 29.44%)
+2

(2 to 0)
+2

(2 to 0)
Idaho (4)
+31.86%

(27.46% to 59.32%)
+2

(2 to 0)
+2

(2 to 0)
Illinois (20)
+16.00%

(55.41% to 39.41%)
+16

(16 to 0)
+16

(16 to 0)
Indiana (11)
+19.25%

(37.87% to 57.12%)
+10

(11 to 1)
+1

(0 to 1)
Iowa (6)
+9.50%

(41.71% to 51.21%)
+7

(7 to 0)
+7

(7 to 0)
Kansas (6)
+21.09%

(36.13% to 57.22%)
+1

(0 to 1)
+1

(0 to 1)
Kentucky (8)
+29.85%

(32.69% to 62.54%)
+5

(6 to 1)
+1

(0 to 1)
Louisiana (8)
+19.65%

(38.44% to 58.09%)
+1

(1 to 0)
+1

(1 to 0)
Maine (4)
+2.68%

(47.84% to 45.16%)
+5

(5 to 0)
+5

(5 to 0)
Maryland (10)
+24.71%

(59.50% to 34.79%)
+4

(4 to 0)
+4

(4 to 0)
Massachusetts (11)
+27.29%

(60.81% to 33.52%)
+68

(68 to 0)
+68

(68 to 0)
Michigan (16)
+0.27%

(47.33% to 47.60%)
+12

(12 to 0)
+12

(12 to 0)
Minnesota (10)
+1.46%

(46.41% to 44.95%)
+5

(5 to 0)
+5

(5 to 0)
Mississippi (6)
+18.58%

(39.74% to 58.32%)
+0

(1 to 1)
+1

(0 to 1)
Missouri (10)
+19.04%

(37.84% to 56.88%)
+3

(4 to 1)
+1

(0 to 1)
Montana (3)
+20.55%

(35.97% to 56.52%)
+1

(1 to 0)
+1

(1 to 0)
Nebraska (5)
+26.37%

(33.96% to 60.33%)
+2

(2 to 0)
+2

(2 to 0)
Nevada (6)
+2.36%

(47.89% to 45.53%)
+3

(4 to 1)
+1

(0 to 1)
New Hampshire (4)
+0.37%

(47.62% to 47.25%)
+5

(5 to 0)
+5

(5 to 0)
New Jersey (14)
+12.74%

(54.77% to 42.03%)
+10

(10 to 0)
+10

(10 to 0)
New Mexico (5)
+8.21%

(48.26% to 40.05%)
+6

(6 to 0)
+6

(6 to 0)
New York (29)
+21.05%

(57.89% to 36.84%)
+29

(30 to 1)
+1

(0 to 1)
North Carolina (15)
+3.77%

(46.13% to 49.90%)
+6

(8 to 2)
+2

(0 to 2)
North Dakota (3)
+35.71%

(27.24% to 62.95%)
+3

(3 to 0)
+3

(3 to 0)
Ohio (18)
+8.55%

(43.51% to 52.06%)
+9

(10 to 1)
+1

(0 to 1)
Oklahoma (7)
+36.40%

(28.93% to 65.33%)
+10

(10 to 0)
+10

(10 to 0)
Oregon (7)
+10.40%

(49.89% to 39.49%)
+10

(10 to 0)
+10

(10 to 0)
Pennsylvania (20)
+1.24%

(47.60% to 48.84%)
+19

(19 to 0)
+19

(19 to 0)
Rhode Island (4)
+14.37%

(53.83% to 39.46%)
+2

(2 to 0)
+2

(2 to 0)
South Carolina (9)
+14.19%

(40.71% to 54.90%)
+2

(2 to 0)
+2

(2 to 0)
South Dakota (3)
+29.79%

(31.74% to 61.53%)
+0

(0 to 0)
+2

(0 to 2)
Tennessee (11)
+26.16%

(34.90% to 61.06%)
+3

(3 to 0)
+3

(3 to 0)
Texas (38)
+9.11%

(43.32% to 52.43%)
+14

(16 to 2)
+2

(0 to 2)
Utah (6)
+18.99%

(27.81% to 46.80%)
+1

(1 to 0)
+1

(1 to 0)
Vermont (3)
+28.48%

(61.12% to 32.64%)
+2

(2 to 0)
+2

(2 to 0)
Virginia (13)
+4.81%

(49.49% to 44.68%)
+6

(6 to 0)
+6

(6 to 0)
Washington (12)
+17.40%

(55.57% to 38.17%)
+9

(9 to 0)
+9

(9 to 0)
West Virginia (5)
+42.18%

(26.47% to 68.65%)
+3

(3 to 0)
+3

(3 to 0)
Wisconsin (10)
+0.93%

(46.94% to 47.87%)
+5

(6 to 1)
+1

(0 to 1)
Wyoming (3)
+45.77%

(21.63% to 67.40%)
+0

(0 to 0)
+2

(0 to 2)